For Sale By Owner Research & Statistics
A source-first research library covering FSBO market share, sale outcomes, seller motivations, transaction costs, time to sell and the role of real-estate professionals.
How OfferPath handles research
The research system separates descriptive statistics from causal claims, records methodology and limitations, and preserves disagreement between credible sources. Automated discovery and extraction do not make a claim publishable: research must be verified and approved first.
OfferPath market intelligence
Explore the economics behind another way to sell
These tools combine Maricopa County sale records, MLS matching and OfferPath's expired/cancelled research. Data shown is a research snapshot through August 2026.
Interactive research tool
Compare estimated seller net proceeds
Adjust every assumption. The starting sale-to-list ratios are descriptive medians from the current Maricopa County research dataset, not promises of a future result.
Traditional estimated sale
$476,500
OfferPath estimated sale
$470,000
Traditional estimated net
$445,528
OfferPath estimated net
$449,201
Estimated OfferPath net difference
+$3,674
Illustrative estimate only. Compensation is negotiable. Results exclude mortgage payoff, taxes, repairs, concessions entered outside this tool and transaction-specific fees. OfferPath does not guarantee a sale price or net proceeds.
Rates and activity
Mortgage rates versus recorded sales
The direct MLS source confirms 42,703 Maricopa closings. The monthly research bars show the subset linked to county records alongside possible off-market county transactions.
30-year mortgage rate
Monthly average; August 2026
County-linked research activity
Confirmed MLS closings linked to county records and possible off-market sales
- County-linked MLS
- Possible off-market
Confirmed Maricopa MLS closings
42,703
Authoritative direct MLS total
Latest rate
6.71%
September 3, 2026
Expired/cancelled records
21,711
16,852 unique parcels
Possible off-market share
13.1%
County-classified market-like sales
August county records may still be incomplete. Monthly delisting counts cannot be responsibly plotted until row-level expiration and cancellation dates are imported; the current 21,711 total is shown as a snapshot.
Sale channel
Average 2026 recorded price per square foot
This comparison uses county records with valid living-area data. The MLS bar is based on the county-linked subset, not the complete 42,703 confirmed direct MLS total. Results describe different property and transaction mixes and do not establish a channel effect.
Average sale price per square foot
January through August 2026 · valid living-area records
County-linked MLS
$304.31 / sq. ft.
32,311 valid living-area records
Possible off-market
$293.50 / sq. ft.
3,677 valid living-area records
Excluded/nonmarket
$307.76 / sq. ft.
6,332 valid living-area records
Method: sale price divided by living area for records with 300–10,000 sq. ft. and plausible values of $25–$2,000 per sq. ft. “Excluded/nonmarket” includes builder, investor, distressed and other transactions not treated as ordinary consumer FSBO sales.
Research library
Studies and reports
Research ingestion is being initialized
Sources can be discovered and analyzed without being published until review is complete.
Research standards
Primary sources first
Government, original datasets, trade-association research and academic papers are favored over derivative articles.
Context before claims
Sample, geography, time period, methodology and limitations stay attached to each finding.
Disagreement is retained
When credible studies disagree, OfferPath shows the disagreement instead of selecting only the finding that favors a particular business model.